Sport Picks
Tolmin vs Sobec Lesce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Slovenia
3. SNL - West 
AI Match Summary
Tolmin host Sobec Lesce in the 3. SNL - West. Tolmin go into this one as the clear favorite. Tolmin have averaged 2 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Sobec Lesce's 0.87 scored and 1.6 conceded. Head-to-head, Tolmin have won 3 to Sobec Lesce's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (2.00 - 1.25) back Tolmin to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tolmin have won more games recently than Sobec Lesce.
- Model gives Tolmin a 73% chance of winning this.
- Regular 3. SNL - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tolmin | Sobec Lesce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sobec Lesce conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Tolmin scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Tolmin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tolmin
(Home)Sobec Lesce
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izola | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 36:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Dob | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Zidgrad Idrija | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 4 | Tolmin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 15 |
| 5 | Sencur | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Litija | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 7 | Skofja Loka | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Rudar Trbovlje | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 9 | Adria Miren | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 10 | IB 1975 Ljubljana | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 11 | Ziri | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 7 |
| 12 | Fama Vipava | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13:34 | 6 |
| 13 | Sobec Lesce | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 14 | Ljubljana Svoboda | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:21 | 1 |
