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Tolosa vs Alaves B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between Tolosa and Alaves B finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tolosa
15%
Draws
85%
Alaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alaves B come out ahead of Tolosa on wins alone.
  • Alaves B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tolosa Clean Sheet 20%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolosa Alaves B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 1.23 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Alaves B
0:3
Sep 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves B vs Tolosa
5:0
Feb 25, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves B vs Tolosa
2:2
Oct 12, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Alaves B
0:0
Mar 30, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves B vs Tolosa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolosa 10 / 100
Alaves B 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolosa Alaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolosa scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Alaves B has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Alaves B's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alaves B
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolosa

(Home)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 1
Tolosa
13 Apr
Tolosa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
09 Apr
CD Vitoria
3 : 2
Tolosa
02 Apr
Tolosa
1 : 4
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 6

Alaves B

(Away)
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1
Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)