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Tolosa vs Leioa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Tolosa Logo

Tolosa

0 - 3
FT
Leioa Logo

Leioa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leioa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leioa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tolosa
20%
Draws
80%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leioa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Leioa have won more games recently than Tolosa.
  • Win probability leans Leioa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Tolosa Clean Sheet 18%
Leioa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolosa Leioa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 10
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Leioa
0:3
Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Tolosa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolosa 10 / 100
Leioa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolosa Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leioa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolosa scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Leioa has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Leioa has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leioa
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolosa

(Home)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 1
Tolosa
13 Apr
Tolosa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
09 Apr
CD Vitoria
3 : 2
Tolosa
02 Apr
Tolosa
1 : 4
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 6

Leioa

(Away)
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5
Leioa
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)