Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tolosa vs Santutxu FC

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santutxu FC in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santutxu FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tolosa
15%
Draws
85%
Santutxu FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santutxu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tolosa lately — more wins on the board than Santutxu FC.
  • Win probability leans Santutxu FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tolosa Clean Sheet 10%
Santutxu FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolosa Santutxu FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 3 11
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Santutxu FC
3:4
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs Tolosa
2:3
Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs Tolosa
1:0
Nov 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Santutxu FC
0:0
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Santutxu FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolosa 18 / 100
Santutxu FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolosa Santutxu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santutxu FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santutxu FC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Tolosa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Santutxu FC has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tolosa VS Santutxu FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolosa

(Home)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 1
Tolosa
13 Apr
Tolosa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
09 Apr
CD Vitoria
3 : 2
Tolosa
02 Apr
Tolosa
1 : 4
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 6

Santutxu FC

(Away)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
Santutxu FC
1 : 3
Leioa
13 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 3
Santutxu FC
09 Apr
Santutxu FC
1 : 1
Anaitasuna FT
02 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)