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Toluca U21 vs Atletico San Luis U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toluca U21 host Atletico San Luis U21 in the Liga MX U21. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Toluca U21 have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Atletico San Luis U21's 1.61 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Toluca U21 have won 2 to Atletico San Luis U21's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.06) point toward Toluca U21. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Toluca U21
15%
Draws
24%
Atletico San Luis U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toluca U21 lately — more wins on the board than Atletico San Luis U21.
  • Model gives Toluca U21 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico San Luis U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toluca U21 Atletico San Luis U21
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 21 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Atletico San Luis U21
2:1
Aug 29, 2025 Liga MX U21
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Toluca U21
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toluca U21 85 / 100
Atletico San Luis U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toluca U21 Atletico San Luis U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toluca U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Toluca U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Atletico San Luis U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Toluca U21 VS Atletico San Luis U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Toluca U21

(Home)
09 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 2
Toluca U21
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Santos Laguna U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Toluca U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0
Atlas U21
Page 1 of 6

Atletico San Luis U21

(Away)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
12 Sept
Club Leon U21
3 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 10 10 0 0 20:7 27
2 Club Leon U21 10 9 0 1 19:9 24
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 10 5 0 5 11:9 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 10 3 0 7 10:19 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)