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Toluca U21 vs Juarez U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
31' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Toluca U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toluca U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Toluca U21
15%
Draws
24%
Juarez U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toluca U21 lately — more wins on the board than Juarez U21.
  • Win probability leans Toluca U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toluca U21 Juarez U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 14
Draws 0 2
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.24 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Juarez U21
2:1
May 2, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Toluca U21
3:0
Apr 29, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Juarez U21
3:0
Mar 8, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Juarez U21
2:3
Aug 11, 2025 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Toluca U21
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toluca U21 95 / 100
Juarez U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toluca U21 Juarez U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toluca U21 scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Toluca U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Juarez U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Toluca U21 VS Juarez U21
2.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toluca U21

(Home)
24 Oct
Club Leon U21
1 : 4
Toluca U21
21 Oct
Toluca U21
5 : 0
Club Tijuana U21
17 Oct
Toluca U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
09 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 2
Toluca U21
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
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Juarez U21

(Away)
23 Oct
Necaxa U21
2 : 3
Juarez U21
20 Oct
Juarez U21
0 : 2
Atlante U21
17 Oct
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
10 Oct
Juarez U21
1 : 0
Club Tijuana U21
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 14 14 0 0 35:10 39
2 Club Leon U21 14 11 0 3 25:18 29
3 Club America U21 14 8 0 6 22:18 24
4 Club Tijuana U21 13 8 0 5 20:18 24
5 Puebla U21 13 7 0 6 17:14 22
6 UNAM Pumas U21 14 6 0 8 16:17 22
7 Guadalajara Chivas U21 14 7 0 7 21:24 22
8 Santos Laguna U21 14 7 0 7 17:19 21
9 Atlante U21 14 7 0 7 22:26 21
10 Monterrey U21 13 7 0 6 28:22 20
11 Atletico San Luis U21 14 7 0 7 26:30 19
12 Necaxa U21 14 7 0 7 16:20 19
13 Juarez U21 14 6 0 8 14:18 18
14 Pachuca U21 14 4 0 10 16:22 17
15 Atlas U21 14 4 0 10 17:20 16
16 Tigres UANL U21 14 5 0 9 19:25 16
17 Cruz Azul U21 14 6 0 8 22:27 14
18 Queretaro U21 13 3 0 10 20:25 9
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)