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Toluca U21 vs Juarez U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
31' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Toluca U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toluca U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Toluca U21
20%
Draws
28%
Juarez U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Toluca U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toluca U21 lately — more wins on the board than Juarez U21.
  • Win probability leans Toluca U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toluca U21 Juarez U21
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.81 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Juarez U21
2:1
May 2, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Toluca U21
3:0
Apr 29, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Juarez U21
3:0
Mar 8, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Juarez U21
2:3
Aug 11, 2025 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Toluca U21
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toluca U21 95 / 100
Juarez U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toluca U21 Juarez U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toluca U21 scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Toluca U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Juarez U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Toluca U21 VS Juarez U21
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toluca U21

(Home)
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Toluca U21
15 Aug
Atlante U21
0 : 1
Toluca U21
02 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 0
Necaxa U21
21 Jul
Toluca U21
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
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Juarez U21

(Away)
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
21 Aug
Juarez U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
1 : 1
Juarez U21
31 Jul
Juarez U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon U21 8 7 0 1 16:9 18
2 Club Tijuana U21 7 5 0 2 13:8 17
3 Toluca U21 6 6 0 0 12:3 16
4 Puebla U21 7 5 0 2 10:5 15
5 Club America U21 8 5 0 3 13:11 15
6 Cruz Azul U21 7 5 0 2 16:10 11
7 Necaxa U21 8 4 0 4 8:12 11
8 Atlas U21 7 3 0 4 10:7 10
9 Guadalajara Chivas U21 6 3 0 3 10:9 10
10 Pachuca U21 8 2 0 6 8:12 10
11 Monterrey U21 5 3 0 2 10:5 9
12 Santos Laguna U21 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
13 Atletico San Luis U21 8 3 0 5 12:16 8
14 Atlante U21 8 2 0 6 8:16 8
15 UNAM Pumas U21 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
16 Juarez U21 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
17 Tigres UANL U21 7 1 0 6 5:15 4
18 Queretaro U21 7 1 0 6 6:12 3
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)