Sport Picks
Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX U21 
AI Match Summary
Toluca U21 host Monterrey U21 in the Liga MX U21. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Toluca U21 have averaged 2.23 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against Monterrey U21's 2.04 scored and 1.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Toluca U21 have won 1 to Monterrey U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (2.44 - 1.38) back Toluca U21 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Toluca U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Toluca U21 taking it.
- Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca U21 | Monterrey U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 22 | 17 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.23 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toluca U21 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Toluca U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Monterrey U21 conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca U21
(Home)Monterrey U21
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 35:10 | 39 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 25:18 | 29 |
| 3 | Club America U21 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 22:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Club Tijuana U21 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Puebla U21 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 17:14 | 22 |
| 6 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 7 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 21:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna U21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Atlante U21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 22:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Monterrey U21 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 28:22 | 20 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 26:30 | 19 |
| 12 | Necaxa U21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 16:20 | 19 |
| 13 | Juarez U21 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 14 | Pachuca U21 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 15 | Atlas U21 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 17:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL U21 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 19:25 | 16 |
| 17 | Cruz Azul U21 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 22:27 | 14 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 20:25 | 9 |
