Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Vega A.
(Penalty)
9'
9'
Musa P.
Assist: Kaick
17'
17'
Ramiro
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Dallas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Toluca carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Toluca a 36% chance of winning this.
- Toluca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Toluca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Toluca Clean Sheet 20%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca | FC Dallas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 Leagues Cup
Toluca vs FC Dallas
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toluca Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinas F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gutierrez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
FC Dallas Compare
Top Goalscorer Musa P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toluca 36 / 100
FC Dallas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toluca FC Dallas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Toluca scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
FC Dallas let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Toluca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Toluca VS FC Dallas
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca
(Home) 03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1 Toluca
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3 Toluca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3 Santos Laguna
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1 Toluca
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2 Atlas
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3 Santos Laguna
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2 Atlas
07 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0 Monterrey
03 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0 Club Leon
31 Aug
Toluca
4 : 0 Juarez
Page 1 of 4
FC Dallas
(Away) 27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0 Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0 Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2 FC Dallas
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3 Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2 FC Dallas
30 Aug
St. Louis City
3 : 3 FC Dallas
23 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
5 : 0 FC Dallas
20 Aug
Real Salt Lake
3 : 4 FC Dallas
17 Aug
Austin FC
1 : 2 FC Dallas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Puebla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nashville SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
