Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX game between Toluca and Necaxa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toluca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Necaxa haven't matched Toluca's recent run of results.
- 71% — that's where the model lands on Toluca taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Toluca have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toluca Compare
Necaxa Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toluca found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Necaxa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Toluca has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca
(Home)Necaxa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 11 | UNAM Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Atlante | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:23 | 3 |
