Sport Picks
Toluca W vs Club Leon W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Women Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca 
Match Events
34'
34'
Blackwood D.
42'
42'
Esquivias I.
44'
44'
Espinosa D.
AI Match Summary
Toluca W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toluca W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Toluca W lately — more wins on the board than Club Leon W.
- Win probability leans Toluca W's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Toluca W Clean Sheet 10%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca W | Club Leon W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.2 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club Leon W
1:0
Mar 31, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Toluca W
3:3
Aug 10, 2025 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club Leon W
1:0
Jan 6, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Toluca W
1:1
Sep 23, 2024 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club Leon W
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toluca W 74 / 100
Club Leon W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toluca W Club Leon W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toluca W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
Club Leon W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Toluca W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Toluca W VS Club Leon W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca W
(Home) 05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2 Toluca W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4 Toluca W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7 Tigres UANL W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0 Club Tijuana W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1 Toluca W
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7 Tigres UANL W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0 Club Tijuana W
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0 Club Leon W
18 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 1 Atlas W
11 Aug
Toluca W
2 : 0 Juarez W
Page 1 of 3
Club Leon W
(Away) 28 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 5 Club America W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2 Juarez W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1 Club Leon W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2 Puebla W
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0 Club Leon W
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1 Club Leon W
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0 Club Leon W
22 Aug
Monterrey W
2 : 3 Club Leon W
02 Aug
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 5 Club Leon W
06 Apr
Pachuca W
5 : 4 Club Leon W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Toluca W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Juarez W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:21 | 15 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante W | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro W | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:22 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 45:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 8 | Puebla W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:39 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa W | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
