Sport Picks
Toluca W vs Club Tijuana W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Women Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca 
Match Events
5'
5'
Del Real B.
Own Goal
10'
10'
Le Sommer E.
Assist: Pavi M.
24'
24'
Pavi M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX Women game between Toluca W and Club Tijuana W finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toluca W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Toluca W carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Toluca W taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Toluca W Clean Sheet 14%
Club Tijuana W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca W | Club Tijuana W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.28 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club Tijuana W
6:0
Jan 6, 2026 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club Tijuana W
5:3
Jul 25, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Toluca W
1:3
Jan 18, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Toluca W
3:1
Aug 6, 2024 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club Tijuana W
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toluca W Compare
Top Goalscorer Le Sommer E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pavi M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Club Tijuana W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toluca W 84 / 100
Club Tijuana W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toluca W Club Tijuana W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Toluca W scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.
Club Tijuana W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.
Toluca W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Toluca W VS Club Tijuana W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca W
(Home) 05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2 Toluca W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4 Toluca W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7 Tigres UANL W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0 Club Tijuana W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1 Toluca W
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7 Tigres UANL W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0 Club Tijuana W
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0 Club Leon W
18 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 1 Atlas W
11 Aug
Toluca W
2 : 0 Juarez W
Page 1 of 4
Club Tijuana W
(Away) 04 Oct
Club Tijuana W
1 : 0 Atlante W
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1 Club Tijuana W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0 Club Tijuana W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1 Pachuca W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1 Club Tijuana W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0 Club Tijuana W
30 Aug
Club America W
3 : 1 Club Tijuana W
25 Aug
Atlas W
2 : 0 Club Tijuana W
09 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1 Club Tijuana W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Toluca W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Juarez W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:21 | 15 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante W | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro W | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:22 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 45:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 8 | Puebla W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:39 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa W | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
