Sport Picks
Toluca W vs Guadalajara Chivas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Women Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca 
AI Match Summary
Toluca W host Guadalajara Chivas W in the Liga MX Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Toluca W have averaged 2.25 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Guadalajara Chivas W's 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Toluca W have won 1 to Guadalajara Chivas W's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.00, favoring Guadalajara Chivas W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guadalajara Chivas W haven't matched Toluca W's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca W | Guadalajara Chivas W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toluca W found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).
Guadalajara Chivas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Toluca W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca W
(Home)Guadalajara Chivas W
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Toluca W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Juarez W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:21 | 15 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante W | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro W | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:22 | 6 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 45:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 8 | Puebla W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:39 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa W | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3:38 | 0 |
