Sport Picks
Toluca W vs Santos Laguna W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Women Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca 
AI Match Summary
Toluca W host Santos Laguna W in the Liga MX Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Toluca W at 2.25 goals for, 1.66 against; Santos Laguna W at 1.03 for, 1.9 against. Past meetings favor Toluca W slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.63, favoring Toluca W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Toluca W carry the better recent record into this one.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Toluca W taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Toluca W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca W | Santos Laguna W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toluca W found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).
Santos Laguna W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Toluca W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca W
(Home)Santos Laguna W
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Toluca W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Juarez W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:21 | 15 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante W | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro W | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:22 | 6 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 45:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 8 | Puebla W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:39 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa W | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3:38 | 0 |
