Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomares UD vs Chiclana

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sanchez M.
38' Event
Rodriguez Rufo F.
54' Event
Amaya J.

AI Match Summary

Tomares UD in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomares UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tomares UD
20%
Draws
34%
Chiclana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tomares UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tomares UD lately — more wins on the board than Chiclana.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Tomares UD Clean Sheet 68%
Chiclana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomares UD Chiclana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs Chiclana
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs Tomares UD
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomares UD Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Rufo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaya J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chiclana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomares UD 42 / 100
Chiclana 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomares UD Chiclana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chiclana conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Tomares UD found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Tomares UD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomares UD VS Chiclana
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomares UD

(Home)
06 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 2
Cadiz B
04 Aug
Tomares UD
3 : 1
Betis B
10 May
Tomares UD
2 : 1
Cadiz B
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2
Tomares UD
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
5 : 0
Tomares UD
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Chiclana

(Away)
05 Sept
Chiclana
2 : 1
Linense
13 Aug
Chiclana
2 : 5
Sanluqueno
12 Aug
Barbate
0 : 4
Chiclana
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1
Xerez CD
10 May
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
2 : 1
Chiclana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)