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Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Huragan Morag

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Jakubczyk P.
28' Event
Mackowski R.
31'
Raben N.

AI Match Summary

Tomaszow Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomaszow Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
22%
Draws
60%
Huragan Morag
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Huragan Morag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tomaszow Mazowiecki lately — more wins on the board than Huragan Morag.
  • Model gives Huragan Morag a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 20%
Huragan Morag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomaszow Mazowiecki Huragan Morag
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 2.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Huragan Morag
4:2
Aug 29, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Huragan Morag vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:4
Apr 19, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Huragan Morag
0:0
Sep 14, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Huragan Morag vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:0
May 15, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Huragan Morag vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakubczyk P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amrozinski A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Huragan Morag Compare

Top Goalscorer Mackowski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 20 / 100
Huragan Morag 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Huragan Morag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Huragan Morag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Tomaszow Mazowiecki has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%