Sport Picks
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
12'
12'
Chwalowski D.
17'
17'
Racis L.
41'
41'
Pawlusinski M.
AI Match Summary
Tomaszow Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomaszow Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- LKS Lomza haven't matched Tomaszow Mazowiecki's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Tomaszow Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 15%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | LKS Lomza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza
5:2
Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
6:0
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza
4:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Chwalowski D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Racis L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
LKS Lomza Compare
Top Goalscorer Klups T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 48 / 100
LKS Lomza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tomaszow Mazowiecki LKS Lomza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tomaszow Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tomaszow Mazowiecki scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
LKS Lomza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.
Away concern: LKS Lomza has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS LKS Lomza
2.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
(Home) 03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
23 Aug
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
4 : 3 LKS Lodz II
14 Aug
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
5 : 2 LKS Lomza
Page 1 of 4
LKS Lomza
(Away) 03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 LKS Lomza
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2 Zabkovia Zabki
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1 LKS Lomza
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 LKS Lomza
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1 LKS Lomza
30 Aug
LKS Lodz II
4 : 3 LKS Lomza
19 Aug
Plock II
1 : 1 LKS Lomza
14 Aug
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
5 : 2 LKS Lomza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Pelikan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Plock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:32 | 10 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:24 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
