Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Oskar Przysucha

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VI
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomaszow Mazowiecki play Oskar Przysucha in the III Liga - Group VI. Tomaszow Mazowiecki are favorites here. Recently, Tomaszow Mazowiecki averaged 2.54 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Oskar Przysucha averaged 1.06 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. In past meetings, Tomaszow Mazowiecki won 2, Oskar Przysucha won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 4, 2016 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Tomaszow Mazowiecki and 1.19 for Oskar Przysucha. This points to a Tomaszow Mazowiecki double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19%
Draws
20%
Oskar Przysucha
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Tomaszow Mazowiecki picked up more points recently compared to Oskar Przysucha.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 20%
Oskar Przysucha Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomaszow Mazowiecki Oskar Przysucha
Matches Played 48 31
Wins 26 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 2.54 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Oskar Przysucha
5:0
Nov 14, 2015 III Liga - Group VI
Oskar Przysucha vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 59 / 100
Oskar Przysucha 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Oskar Przysucha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomaszow Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tomaszow Mazowiecki & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tomaszow Mazowiecki attacking → ← attacking Oskar Przysucha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki scored in 92% of their last 48 games.

Oskar Przysucha let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tomaszow Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Oskar Przysucha lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

86 Points in last 5 25
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Polonia Warszawa34215862:2568
2Ursus Warszawa34198756:2665
3Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz341811553:2465
4Tomaszow Mazowiecki34198779:3765
5Legia II34198766:3865
6LKS Lodz34197871:3764
7Pelikan341810658:2964
8Swit Mazowiecki341712561:2763
9Blekitni Raciaz341581156:5253
10Warta Sieradz341271543:4643
11Bron Radom349101551:7037
12Warta Dzialoszyn341051933:8235
13Pilica Bialobrzegi341042048:6034
14Oskar Przysucha34781942:7829
15Energia Kozienice34691941:6427
16Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki34691936:6027
17Otwock34642424:8622
18Ner Poddebice34492131:7021