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Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Winsztal P.
39' Event
Adamiak K.
69' Event
Kepa W.

AI Match Summary

Star Starachowice in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Star Starachowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
44%
Draws
20%
Star Starachowice
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomaszow Mazowiecki average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Star Starachowice's 1.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 13%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomaszow Mazowiecki Star Starachowice
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice
1:3
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Kepa W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Star Starachowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Winsztal P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adamiak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 35 / 100
Star Starachowice 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Star Starachowice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Star Starachowice conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Tomaszow Mazowiecki has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS Star Starachowice
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%