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Tomayapo vs Independiente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Tomayapo Logo

Tomayapo

2 - 1
FT
Independiente Logo

Independiente

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Castillo J. In: Ramallo D.
Out: Castillo J.
36'
Torres S.
37'
Ramallo D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional game between Tomayapo and Independiente finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomayapo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tomayapo
15%
Draws
64%
Independiente
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independiente come out ahead of Tomayapo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Independiente a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomayapo Independiente
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:1
Sep 1, 2026 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Independiente
3:0
Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:2
Feb 5, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomayapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Eguez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Independiente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomayapo 10 / 100
Independiente 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomayapo Independiente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Tomayapo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Tomayapo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomayapo VS Independiente
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomayapo

(Home)
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0
Tomayapo
03 Oct
Always Ready
4 : 0
Tomayapo
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1
Tomayapo
Page 1 of 6

Independiente

(Away)
07 Oct
Independiente
1 : 0
GV San Jose
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3
Bolivar
02 Oct
Blooming
0 : 1
Independiente
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3
Independiente
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1
Tomayapo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 36:27 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 20 6 3 11 32:50 21
12 Academia del Balompie 20 6 2 12 31:45 20
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20 6 2 12 21:40 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 20 5 3 12 26:39 18
15 Tomayapo 20 4 4 12 15:39 16
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)