Sport Picks
Tomayapo vs Independiente
Bolivia
Division Profesional Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija 
Match Events
21'
21'
Sub
Castillo J. In: Ramallo D.
Out: Castillo J.
36'
36'
Torres S.
37'
37'
Ramallo D.
AI Match Summary
The Division Profesional game between Tomayapo and Independiente finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomayapo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Independiente come out ahead of Tomayapo on wins alone.
- Model gives Independiente a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 16%
Independiente Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomayapo | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.26 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:2
Feb 5, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Independiente
3:6
Sep 30, 2025 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Tomayapo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomayapo Compare
Top Goalscorer Eguez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guerra J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Independiente Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tomayapo 28 / 100
Independiente 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tomayapo Independiente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.
Tomayapo found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
Tomayapo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tomayapo VS Independiente
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tomayapo
(Home) 14 Aug
Club Universitario de Vinto
0 : 1 Tomayapo
07 Aug
Tomayapo
1 : 2 Real Oruro
05 Aug
Guabira
3 : 0 Tomayapo
31 Jul
Tomayapo
1 : 1 Academia del Balompie
26 Jul
Nacional Potosi
4 : 1 Tomayapo
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Tomayapo
1 : 2 Real Oruro
31 Jul
Tomayapo
1 : 1 Academia del Balompie
12 Jul
Tomayapo
2 : 1 Independiente
16 May
Tomayapo
0 : 2 Aurora
09 May
Tomayapo
1 : 0 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Page 1 of 3
Independiente
(Away) 22 Aug
Nacional Potosi
3 : 0 Independiente
19 Aug
Independiente
5 : 2 Blooming
17 Aug
Independiente
1 : 0 GV San Jose
08 Aug
The Strongest
1 : 2 Independiente
04 Aug
Independiente
1 : 1 Aurora
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
Nacional Potosi
3 : 0 Independiente
08 Aug
The Strongest
1 : 2 Independiente
01 Aug
Real Oruro
0 : 3 Independiente
16 Jul
Academia del Balompie
3 : 1 Independiente
12 Jul
Tomayapo
2 : 1 Independiente
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 32:9 | 34 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:16 | 30 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:20 | 30 |
| 4 | Oriente Petrolero | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 29:20 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Potosi | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Guabira | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26:27 | 24 |
| 7 | Aurora | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 23:22 | 23 |
| 8 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:24 | 22 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:21 | 21 |
| 10 | Blooming | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 11 | Academia del Balompie | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26:33 | 17 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 27:38 | 17 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 18:32 | 17 |
| 14 | GV San Jose | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 15 | Tomayapo | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11:31 | 12 |
| 16 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 20:35 | 11 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)
