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Tomayapo vs Independiente

Bolivia Bolivia

Torneo Amistoso de Verano Estadio IV Centenario
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Eguez R.
61' Event
72' Event
Cuiza S.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Amistoso de Verano game between Tomayapo and Independiente finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomayapo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tomayapo
6%
Draws
4%
Independiente
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tomayapo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independiente come out ahead of Tomayapo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tomayapo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 16%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomayapo Independiente
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 13
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:2
Feb 5, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Independiente
3:6
Sep 30, 2025 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Tomayapo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomayapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Eguez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuiza S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Independiente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomayapo 84 / 100
Independiente 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomayapo Independiente

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Tomayapo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Independiente lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomayapo VS Independiente
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guabira2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo3
Club Universitario de Vinto3
Aurora4
Real Oruro3
GV San Jose4
Academia del Balompie2
Always Ready7
The Strongest2
Bolivar3
Real Potosi2
Nacional Potosi0
Oriente Petrolero3
Blooming4
Tomayapo4
Independiente6
Quarter-finals
San Antonio Bulo Bulo2
Aurora3
GV San Jose2
Always Ready7
Bolivar6
Real Potosi2
Blooming10
Independiente1
Semi-finals
Aurora2
Always Ready5
Bolivar8
Blooming2
Final
Always Ready4
Bolivar5