Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomayapo vs Jorge Wilstermann

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2025 Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Machado C.
17' Event
Barbery Gil M. G.
Assist: Perez D.
27' Event
Rocabado I.
Assist: Caceres A.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional 2025 game between Tomayapo and Jorge Wilstermann finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomayapo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tomayapo
15%
Draws
34%
Jorge Wilstermann
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomayapo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tomayapo come out ahead of Jorge Wilstermann on wins alone.
  • Tomayapo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division Profesional 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 18%
Jorge Wilstermann Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomayapo Jorge Wilstermann
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Jorge Wilstermann
6:1
May 27, 2025 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Tomayapo
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Jorge Wilstermann vs Tomayapo
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Tomayapo vs Jorge Wilstermann
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Jorge Wilstermann
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomayapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbery Gil M. G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bejarano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Jorge Wilstermann Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocabado I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomayapo 40 / 100
Jorge Wilstermann 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomayapo Jorge Wilstermann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomayapo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jorge Wilstermann's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Tomayapo found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Jorge Wilstermann lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomayapo VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomayapo

(Home)
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1
Tomayapo
17 Sept
Tomayapo
0 : 2
Oriente Petrolero
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2
Bolivar
10 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 0
Always Ready
Page 1 of 6

Jorge Wilstermann

(Away)
14 Dec
The Strongest
6 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
09 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
2 : 2
GV San Jose
07 Dec
Guabira
6 : 3
Jorge Wilstermann
04 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
3 : 1
Real Oruro
30 Nov
Aurora
1 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 30 22 5 3 91:34 71
2 Bolivar 30 21 5 4 82:32 68
3 The Strongest 30 21 1 8 77:47 64
4 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 30 13 7 10 62:54 46
5 Blooming 30 14 4 12 53:56 46
6 Independiente 30 13 6 11 56:57 45
7 Nacional Potosi 30 12 7 11 51:41 43
8 Guabira 30 13 4 13 58:63 43
9 GV San Jose 30 12 5 13 46:50 41
10 Aurora 30 11 4 15 53:63 37
11 Tomayapo 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
12 Oriente Petrolero 30 9 6 15 45:58 33
13 Real Oruro 30 8 7 15 60:66 31
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 30 6 8 16 32:60 26
15 Academia del Balompie 30 6 8 16 33:64 26
16 Jorge Wilstermann 30 4 7 19 30:71 19
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2025 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional 2025 (Relegation)