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Tombense vs Aymores

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2025 Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida, Tombos
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Douglas Coutinho
26'
Julio Henrique
29'
Patrick Santos

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2025 game between Tombense and Aymores finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tombense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tombense
30%
Draws
34%
Aymores
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tombense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Aymores haven't matched Tombense's recent run of results.
  • Tombense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Tombense Clean Sheet 17%
Aymores Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tombense Aymores
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2025 Mineiro
Tombense vs Aymores
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tombense Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Coutinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aymores Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tombense 36 / 100
Aymores 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tombense Aymores

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tombense's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Aymores's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Tombense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tombense VS Aymores
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tombense

(Home)
27 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
CRAC
21 Jun
CRAC
1 : 0
Tombense
14 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 7

Aymores

(Away)
18 Jul
Aymores
2 : 0
Boa
12 Jul
Aymores
2 : 2
Democrata SL
04 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Aymores
01 Jul
Ipatinga
1 : 4
Aymores
28 Jun
Aymores
0 : 1
Valeriodoce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tombense85128:516
2Atletico-MG84409:216
3Betim FC843112:515
4Uberlandia823310:109
Promotion - Mineiro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America MG834114:513
2Athletic Club840412:1212
3Democrata GV83238:911
4Itabirito82247:118
Promotion - Mineiro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruzeiro832311:911
2Pouso Alegre82247:158
3Aymores81433:57
4Villa Nova AC81164:174
Promotion - Mineiro 2025 (Play Offs)