Sport Picks

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Tombense vs Aymores

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2025 Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida, Tombos
Tombense Logo

Tombense

1 - 0
FT
Aymores Logo

Aymores

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Douglas Coutinho
26'
Julio Henrique
29'
Patrick Santos
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2025 game between Tombense and Aymores finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tombense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tombense
35%
Draws
32%
Aymores
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Aymores have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Tombense are scoring more at 1.23.
  • Tombense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tombense Clean Sheet 68%
Aymores Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tombense Aymores
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2025 Mineiro
Tombense vs Aymores
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tombense Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Coutinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Aymores Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tombense 50 / 100
Aymores 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tombense Aymores

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tombense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tombense's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Aymores's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Tombense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tombense VS Aymores
1.17 Goals Scored 1.75
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tombense

(Home)
27 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
CRAC
21 Jun
CRAC
1 : 0
Tombense
14 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 7

Aymores

(Away)
08 Aug
Aymores
3 : 3
Villa Nova AC
02 Aug
Villa Nova AC
1 : 0
Aymores
26 Jul
Boa
1 : 1
Aymores
18 Jul
Aymores
2 : 0
Boa
12 Jul
Aymores
2 : 2
Democrata SL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tombense 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
2 Atletico-MG 8 4 4 0 9:2 16
3 Betim FC 8 4 3 1 12:5 15
4 Uberlandia 8 2 3 3 10:10 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America MG 8 3 4 1 14:5 13
2 Athletic Club 8 4 0 4 12:12 12
3 Democrata GV 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
4 Itabirito 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
Promotion - Mineiro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
2 Pouso Alegre 8 2 2 4 7:15 8
3 Aymores 8 1 4 3 3:5 7
4 Villa Nova AC 8 1 1 6 4:17 4
Promotion - Mineiro 2025 (Play Offs)