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Tomelloso vs Villarrobledo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Farisato M.

AI Match Summary

Villarrobledo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarrobledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tomelloso
22%
Draws
60%
Villarrobledo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Villarrobledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villarrobledo lately — more wins on the board than Tomelloso.
  • Villarrobledo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Villarrobledo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 27%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomelloso Villarrobledo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0 0.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Tomelloso
2:1
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Villarrobledo
0:1
Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Villarrobledo
2:2
Sep 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Tomelloso
2:0
Feb 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Villarrobledo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomelloso Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Villarrobledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Farisato M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomelloso 22 / 100
Villarrobledo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomelloso Villarrobledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tomelloso scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Villarrobledo conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tomelloso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villarrobledo
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomelloso

(Home)
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3
Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0
Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2
Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1
Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
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Villarrobledo

(Away)
09 May
Villacanas
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
03 May
Villarrobledo
0 : 0
Illescas
25 Apr
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
Villarrobledo
19 Apr
Sonseca
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
12 Apr
Villarrobledo
0 : 0
Albacete B
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Conquense342110357:1873
2Cazalegas34178948:3559
3Toledo341610847:2558
4Socuellamos341513648:2858
5Quintanar del Rey34169946:2957
6Puertollano C.F.341511848:3356
7Villarrubia341510936:3155
8CD Tarancon341114938:3147
9Albacete B3412101247:4946
10Azuqueca3410111340:4641
11Villacanas3410111334:3641
12Villarrobledo3410111328:3741
13Marchamalo341091527:3839
14Huracan de Balazote348151135:4739
15La Solana341091534:3939
16Torrijos345131623:4528
17Tomelloso345111824:5526
18San Clemente34472328:6619
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)