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Tomiris-Turan W vs Kaspij Aktau W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomiris-Turan W play Kaspij Aktau W in the League Women. Tomiris-Turan W are favorites here. Recently, Tomiris-Turan W averaged 3.21 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Kaspij Aktau W averaged 0 goals scored and 5.14 conceded. In past meetings, Tomiris-Turan W won 1, Kaspij Aktau W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 29, 2026 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Tomiris-Turan W and 1.00 for Kaspij Aktau W. This points to a Tomiris-Turan W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tomiris-Turan W
25%
Draws
15%
Kaspij Aktau W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Tomiris-Turan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Tomiris-Turan W picked up more points recently compared to Kaspij Aktau W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19%
Tomiris-Turan W Clean Sheet 23%
Kaspij Aktau W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomiris-Turan W Kaspij Aktau W
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 22 0
Draws 3 1
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 3.21 0
Goals Conceded 0.72 5.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Kaspij Aktau W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomiris-Turan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yrysbek K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toktobolotova B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kaspij Aktau W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomiris-Turan W 59 / 100
Kaspij Aktau W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomiris-Turan W Kaspij Aktau W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomiris-Turan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tomiris-Turan W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tomiris-Turan W attacking → ← attacking Kaspij Aktau W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomiris-Turan W scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Kaspij Aktau W let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Tomiris-Turan W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kaspij Aktau W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 1
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1BIIK Shymkent W880076:024
2Tomiris-Turan W870122:221
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W851211:1316
4Kairat W841320:1013
5Atyrau W83238:1911
6Ordabasy W831410:2210
7Zhetysu W921611:247
8Ulytau W80171:331
9Kaspij Aktau W70160:361
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aktobe W101000104:130
2Zhenis Astana W971140:1822
3Kyzylzhar W952229:1017
4Yelimay Semey W1051426:2016
5FC Astana W950417:2215
6Tobol W940511:2712
7Ertis Pavlodar W932412:1311
8Shakhter Karagandy W92165:527
9Okzhetpes W91088:513
10Altai W90185:431