Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomislav vs BFK Simm Bau

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 Gradski stadion Tomislav, Tomislav
Sun, Apr 13, 2025
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomislav host BFK Simm Bau in the Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025. This has BFK Simm Bau written all over it on paper. BFK Simm Bau have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Tomislav have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Tomislav slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring BFK Simm Bau. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tomislav
25%
Draws
35%
BFK Simm Bau
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Tomislav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tomislav lately — more wins on the board than BFK Simm Bau.
  • Win probability leans BFK Simm Bau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tomislav Clean Sheet 20%
BFK Simm Bau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomislav BFK Simm Bau
Matches Played 35 10
Wins 12 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Tomislav vs BFK Simm Bau
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
BFK Simm Bau vs Tomislav
0:0
May 18, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
BFK Simm Bau vs Tomislav
0:4
Oct 21, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Tomislav vs BFK Simm Bau
4:5
May 13, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Tomislav vs BFK Simm Bau
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomislav 10 / 100
BFK Simm Bau 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomislav BFK Simm Bau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFK Simm Bau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Tomislav scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomislav VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomislav

(Home)
29 Aug
Tomislav
2 : 4
Travnik
23 Aug
Sloboda Tuzla
3 : 0
Tomislav
16 Aug
Tomislav
0 : 3
NK GOSK Gabela
07 Aug
Posusje
3 : 1
Tomislav
01 Aug
Siroki Brijeg
3 : 0
Tomislav
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BFK Simm Bau

(Away)

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stupcanica 28 16 6 6 50:29 54
2 Bratstvo Gracanica 28 15 1 12 38:38 46
3 Celik Zenica 28 13 6 9 40:29 45
4 Hadzici 28 12 9 7 41:31 45
5 Banovici 28 12 7 9 42:33 43
6 Travnik 28 11 9 8 37:30 42
7 Tuzla City 28 12 6 10 33:33 42
8 Tomislav 28 11 8 9 38:28 41
9 TOSK Tesanj 28 11 7 10 41:38 40
10 Jedinstvo Bihac 28 10 9 9 32:32 39
11 Gradina Srebrenik 28 10 7 11 35:36 37
12 Gorazde 28 8 11 9 32:35 35
13 Gradacac 28 10 3 15 43:40 33
14 Gornji Rahic 28 8 7 13 43:56 31
15 Radnicki Lukavac 28 1 4 23 23:80 7
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