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Tomislav vs FK Sarajevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FK Sarajevo have shipped 0.78 goals a game lately, while Tomislav have conceded 1.77 and scored 1.33. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.69, favoring FK Sarajevo. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Tomislav
35%
Draws
40%
FK Sarajevo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Sarajevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • FK Sarajevo have won more games recently than Tomislav.
  • Win probability leans FK Sarajevo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • FK Sarajevo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tomislav Clean Sheet 13%
FK Sarajevo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomislav FK Sarajevo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomislav 19 / 100
FK Sarajevo 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomislav FK Sarajevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Sarajevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomislav found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Tomislav went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Sarajevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Away concern: FK Sarajevo has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tomislav VS FK Sarajevo
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomislav

(Home)
17 Oct
NK Vitez
2 : 1
Tomislav
10 Oct
Tomislav
1 : 0
Kakanj
03 Oct
Capljina
4 : 2
Tomislav
27 Sept
Tomislav
2 : 2
Igman Konjic
19 Sept
Bratstvo Gracanica
2 : 2
Tomislav
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FK Sarajevo

(Away)
17 Oct
Radnik Bijeljina
1 : 1
FK Sarajevo
11 Oct
Celik Zenica
0 : 0
FK Sarajevo
25 Sept
Gornji Rahic
0 : 3
FK Sarajevo
20 Sept
FK Sarajevo
2 : 0
FK Sloga Meridian
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0
FK Sarajevo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Romanija Pale -
FK Sloga Meridian -
Zvijezda 09 -
Radnik Bijeljina -
Igman Konjic -
BSK Banja Luka -
Tomislav -
FK Sarajevo -
Proleter Dvorovi -
Celik Zenica -
Gradacac -
Velez Mostar -
NK GOSK Gabela -
Siroki Brijeg -
Laktasi -
Zrinjski -
Cazin -
Borac Banja Luka -
Sloboda Tuzla -
Zeljeznicar -
Posusje -
NK Vitez -
Famos Vojkovici -
Leotar -
Slavija -
Capljina -
Visoko -
Majevica -
TOSK Tesanj -
Rudar Prijedor -
Brotnjo Citluk -
Travnik -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Final
TBD -
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