Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomori Berat vs Lushnja Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Murati O.
34'
Murati O.
65' Event
Basha A.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 game between Tomori Berat and Lushnja finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lushnja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tomori Berat
15%
Draws
49%
Lushnja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lushnja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Lushnja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Lushnja taking it.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 20%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomori Berat Lushnja
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 9
Draws 1 8
Losses 25 19
Goals Scored 0.53 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Lushnja
0:2
Jan 20, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Tomori Berat
2:2
Dec 6, 2023 Albanian Cup
Tomori Berat vs Lushnja
0:3
Oct 1, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Lushnja
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Tomori Berat
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomori Berat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Lushnja Compare

Top Goalscorer Basha A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willie J. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomori Berat 10 / 100
Lushnja 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomori Berat Lushnja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lushnja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lushnja has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Lushnja registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tomori Berat's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tomori Berat VS Lushnja
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomori Berat

(Home)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
Page 1 of 6

Lushnja

(Away)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AF Elbasani 33 24 7 2 76:32 79
2 Bylis 33 22 5 6 55:31 71
3 Flamurtari 33 16 10 7 46:29 58
4 Vora 33 15 5 13 61:50 50
5 Apolonia Fier 33 12 10 11 44:31 46
6 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 8 13 42:38 44
7 Kastrioti 33 10 10 13 43:47 40
8 Burreli 33 12 4 17 28:43 40
9 Lushnja 33 10 8 15 38:53 38
10 Besa Kavaje 33 10 8 15 34:47 38
11 Luzi 33 9 4 20 41:56 31
12 Tomori Berat 33 4 5 24 21:72 17
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 (Relegation)