Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomori Berat vs Shenkolli

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomori Berat play Shenkolli in the Albanian Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tomori Berat averaged 0.58 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. Shenkolli averaged 1 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Tomori Berat won 2, Shenkolli won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 18, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Tomori Berat and 1.63 for Shenkolli. This points to a Shenkolli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tomori Berat
15%
Draws
49%
Shenkolli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shenkolli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Tomori Berat picked up more points recently compared to Shenkolli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 14%
Shenkolli Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomori Berat Shenkolli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 2 10
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 0.58 1
Goals Conceded 2.45 2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Albanian Cup
Tomori Berat vs Shenkolli
1:0
Feb 24, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Shenkolli vs Tomori Berat
3:0
Nov 18, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Shenkolli
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomori Berat Compare

Top Goalscorer Becka K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shenkolli Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomori Berat 35 / 100
Shenkolli 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomori Berat Shenkolli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shenkolli or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tomori Berat attacking → ← attacking Shenkolli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomori Berat scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Shenkolli let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Tomori Berat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Shenkolli lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 19
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00