Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomori Berat vs Shenkolli

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Becka K.

AI Match Summary

Tomori Berat in this Albanian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tomori Berat
15%
Draws
0%
Shenkolli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomori Berat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Shenkolli haven't matched Tomori Berat's recent run of results.
  • Shenkolli are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Tomori Berat have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tomori Berat, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tomori Berat have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 14%
Shenkolli Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomori Berat Shenkolli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 1 10
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 0.53 1
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Albanian Cup
Tomori Berat vs Shenkolli
1:0
Feb 24, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Shenkolli vs Tomori Berat
3:0
Nov 18, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Shenkolli
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomori Berat Compare

Top Goalscorer Becka K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Shenkolli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomori Berat 27 / 100
Shenkolli 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomori Berat Shenkolli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shenkolli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenkolli let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Shenkolli has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Tomori Berat's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tomori Berat VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomori Berat

(Home)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
Page 1 of 6

Shenkolli

(Away)
18 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 0
Shenkolli
29 Jul
Shenkolli
4 : 6
KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Turbina Cerrik
7 : 2
Shenkolli
19 Jul
Shenkolli
1 : 3
KF Oriku
12 Jul
KS Devolli
1 : 0
Shenkolli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kukesi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti 3
Shkumbini Peqin 2
Beselidhja Lezha 0
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 4
Kucove 0
Luzi 3
Butrinti Sarande 2
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 3
Delvina 0
Turbina Cerrik 4
Koplik 0
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 4
KS Devolli 0
Besa Kavaje 3
Sopoti Librazhd 2
Laci -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City 3
Iliria Kruja 0
KF Oriku 2
Pogradeci 0
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat 1
Shenkolli 0
Lushnja 3
Laberia FC 0
Erzeni Shijak -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis 4
Murlani 1
Terbuni Puka 2
Vora 4
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 2
AF Luftetari 0
Burreli 2
KF Valbona 1
1/16-finals
Kukesi -
TBD -
Kastrioti 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 2
Luzi 1
Teuta -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Turbina Cerrik 0
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Besa Kavaje 2
Laci -
TBD -
Dinamo City 2
KF Oriku 0
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Tomori Berat 0
Lushnja 3
Erzeni Shijak -
TBD -
Bylis 3
Vora 2
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Flamurtari 2
Burreli 0
1/8-finals
Kukesi 1
AF Elbasani 0
Partizani 3
Apolonia Fier 1
Teuta 2
Skenderbeu Korca 0
KF Tirana 3
Korabi Peshkopi 0
Laci 1
Dinamo City 0
KF Egnatia 2
Lushnja 0
Erzeni Shijak 2
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 4
Flamurtari 0
Quarter-finals
Kukesi 2
Partizani 1
Teuta 1
KF Tirana 2
Laci 1
KF Egnatia 4
Erzeni Shijak 3
Vllaznia 7
Semi-finals
Kukesi 2
KF Tirana 1
KF Egnatia 2
Vllaznia 1
Final
Kukesi 0
KF Egnatia 1