Sport Picks

Albania

First Division 2022/2023

Turbina Cerrik

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tomori Berat play Turbina Cerrik in the First Division 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tomori Berat averaged 0.71 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. Turbina Cerrik averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Tomori Berat won 4, Turbina Cerrik won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Tomori Berat and 1.63 for Turbina Cerrik. This points to a Turbina Cerrik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Tomori Berat

15%

Draws

46%

Turbina Cerrik

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turbina Cerrik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Tomori Berat picked up more points recently compared to Turbina Cerrik.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 14%

Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tomori Berat	Turbina Cerrik
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	7	8
Draws	2	4
Losses	25	18
Goals Scored	0.71	0.97
Goals Conceded	2.29	1.97
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

Turbina Cerrik vs Tomori Berat

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

Jan 28, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

Tomori Berat vs Turbina Cerrik

Possession: 40% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Apr 30, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Turbina Cerrik vs Tomori Berat

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

4:3

Dec 18, 2021 Kategoria e Parë

Tomori Berat vs Turbina Cerrik

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

Mar 13, 2021 Kategoria e Parë

Turbina Cerrik vs Tomori Berat

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomori Berat Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismailaj L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Alinani K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomori Berat 38 / 100

Turbina Cerrik 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tomori Berat Turbina Cerrik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Turbina Cerrik or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tomori Berat attacking → ← attacking Turbina Cerrik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomori Berat scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Turbina Cerrik let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tomori Berat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Turbina Cerrik lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 28

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Skenderbeu Korca	26	13	10	3	37:13	49
2	Dinamo Tirana	26	14	5	7	48:23	47
3	Flamurtari	26	13	7	6	40:16	46
4	Tomori Berat	26	13	4	9	29:27	43
5	Korabi Peshkopi	26	10	9	7	32:24	39
6	Apolonia Fier	26	10	8	8	31:30	38
7	Luzi	26	10	8	8	31:26	38
8	Besa Kavaje	26	10	7	9	32:26	37
9	Lushnja	26	8	8	10	30:42	32
10	Burreli	26	7	10	9	22:29	31
11	KF Oriku	26	9	3	14	27:33	30
12	Turbina Cerrik	26	7	5	14	24:45	26
13	Beselidhja Lezha	26	3	8	15	17:41	14
14	Terbuni Puka	26	6	6	14	16:41	24