Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ton Pentre vs Caldicot

Wales Wales

Division 1
Sat, Mar 14, 2020
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ton Pentre host Caldicot in the Division 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ton Pentre at 1.63 goals for, 2.42 against; Caldicot at 1.63 for, 1.84 against. Past meetings favor Caldicot slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.06, favoring Caldicot. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ton Pentre
15%
Draws
28%
Caldicot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ton Pentre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caldicot come out ahead of Ton Pentre on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ton Pentre Clean Sheet 20%
Caldicot Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ton Pentre Caldicot
Matches Played 19 19
Wins 7 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2020 Division 1
Ton Pentre vs Caldicot
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Division 1
Caldicot vs Ton Pentre
3:1
Feb 4, 2017 Division 1
Caldicot vs Ton Pentre
2:1
Sep 17, 2016 Division 1
Ton Pentre vs Caldicot
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ton Pentre 32 / 100
Caldicot 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ton Pentre Caldicot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldicot let in goals in 89% of their last 19 matches.

Ton Pentre found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (19 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Caldicot has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ton Pentre VS Caldicot
0.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ton Pentre

(Home)
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
17 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
6 : 0
Ton Pentre
06 Mar
Croesyceiliog FC
1 : 2
Ton Pentre
22 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 3
Ton Pentre
08 Feb
Trefelin
4 : 1
Ton Pentre
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Caldicot

(Away)
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 3
Caldicot
21 Sept
Caldicot
1 : 2
Morriston Town
17 Sept
Pill
4 : 0
Caldicot
04 Sept
Pure Swansea
6 : 3
Caldicot
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