Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ton Pentre host Pontardawe in the Division 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ton Pentre have averaged 1.63 scored and 2.42 conceded recently, against Pontardawe's 1.58 scored and 2.15 conceded. Past meetings favor Ton Pentre slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.56) point toward Ton Pentre. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pontardawe carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ton Pentre | Pontardawe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.42 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pontardawe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.
Ton Pentre's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 19 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Away concern: Pontardawe has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ton Pentre
(Home)Pontardawe
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 64:23 | 54 |
| 2 | Port Talbot | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 33:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Risca United | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 32:24 | 33 |
| 4 | Goytre AFC | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 46:22 | 32 |
| 5 | Garden Village | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:29 | 29 |
| 6 | Caldicot | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 27:25 | 26 |
| 7 | Penydarren | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:22 | 24 |
| 8 | Ton Pentre | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 31:42 | 22 |
| 9 | Bridgend Street | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 35:25 | 21 |
| 10 | Pontardawe | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 22:28 | 19 |
| 11 | Abergavenny Town | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 25:42 | 18 |
| 12 | Aberbargoed Buds | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:31 | 16 |
| 13 | Monmouth | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 27:39 | 14 |
| 14 | Llwydcoed | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20:33 | 14 |
| 15 | Croesyceiliog FC | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:27 | 13 |
| 16 | Dinas Powys | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 28:57 | 9 |
