Sport Picks
Match Events
60'
60'
Moore D.
61'
61'
Morgan D.
67'
67'
Babajide O.
AI Match Summary
Torquay in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torquay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Torquay lately — more wins on the board than Tonbridge.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Tonbridge taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 14%
Torquay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tonbridge | Torquay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Torquay
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 National League South
Torquay vs Tonbridge
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Torquay
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 National League South
Torquay vs Tonbridge
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 National League South
Tonbridge vs Torquay
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tonbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Babajide O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Torquay Compare
Top Goalscorer Moore D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Morgan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tonbridge 48 / 100
Torquay 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tonbridge Torquay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Torquay conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.
Tonbridge's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Tonbridge stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tonbridge VS Torquay
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tonbridge
(Home) 08 Aug
Braintree
0 : 4 Tonbridge
28 Jul
Tonbridge
4 : 2 Eastbourne Borough
25 Jul
Tonbridge
3 : 1 Dulwich Hamlet
21 Jul
Tonbridge
2 : 2 Sittingbourne
14 Jul
Tonbridge
0 : 2 Sutton
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Tonbridge
4 : 2 Eastbourne Borough
25 Jul
Tonbridge
3 : 1 Dulwich Hamlet
21 Jul
Tonbridge
2 : 2 Sittingbourne
14 Jul
Tonbridge
0 : 2 Sutton
11 Jul
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Biggleswade FC
Page 1 of 4
Torquay
(Away) 08 Aug
Torquay
1 : 1 Horsham FC
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1 Exeter
25 Jul
Torquay
5 : 0 Cardiff U21
21 Jul
Torquay
0 : 1 Plymouth
18 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 2 Torquay
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 2 Torquay
14 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 0 Torquay
09 May
Hornchurch
3 : 2 Torquay
25 Apr
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Torquay
11 Apr
Slough Town
1 : 5 Torquay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
