Sport Picks
Tonbridge vs Walton & Hersham
England
National League South Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge 
Match Events
19'
19'
Tanga J.
22'
22'
Baker F.
39'
39'
Akehurst B.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Tonbridge and Walton & Hersham finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tonbridge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tonbridge
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tonbridge come out ahead of Walton & Hersham on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Tonbridge's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 20%
Walton & Hersham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tonbridge | Walton & Hersham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League South
Tonbridge vs Walton & Hersham
5:1
Sep 28, 2024 FA Cup
Tonbridge vs Walton & Hersham
2:1
Apr 14, 2007 Isthmian League Premier Division
Walton & Hersham vs Tonbridge
2:1
Sep 2, 2006 Isthmian League Premier Division
Tonbridge vs Walton & Hersham
0:0
Jan 20, 2005 FA Trophy
Walton & Hersham vs Tonbridge
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tonbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanga J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baker F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Walton & Hersham Compare
Top Goalscorer Skarna M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tonbridge 85 / 100
Walton & Hersham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tonbridge Walton & Hersham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tonbridge scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Walton & Hersham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Tonbridge stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tonbridge VS Walton & Hersham
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tonbridge
(Home) 19 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1 Ramsgate
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Maidstone
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
31 Aug
Tonbridge
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1 Ramsgate
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Maidstone
31 Aug
Tonbridge
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
22 Aug
Tonbridge
0 : 2 Truro
15 Aug
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Torquay
Page 1 of 4
Walton & Hersham
(Away) 19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3 Horsham FC
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1 Walton & Hersham
05 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 2 Ebbsfleet
31 Aug
Tonbridge
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
29 Aug
Walton & Hersham
1 : 4 Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1 Walton & Hersham
31 Aug
Tonbridge
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
22 Aug
Chesham
2 : 0 Walton & Hersham
08 Aug
Folkestone
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
25 Jul
Oxford City
1 : 2 Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
