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Tondela U19 vs Alverca U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Correia T.

AI Match Summary

Tondela U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tondela U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tondela U19
30%
Draws
23%
Alverca U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tondela U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tondela U19 have won more games recently than Alverca U19.
  • Tondela U19 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tondela U19 Alverca U19
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.74 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Tondela U19
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Alverca U19
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Tondela U19
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Alverca U19
0:0
Dec 21, 2019 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Tondela U19
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tondela U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Correia T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Alverca U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tondela U19 68 / 100
Alverca U19 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tondela U19 Alverca U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tondela U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca U19 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Alverca U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tondela U19 found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Tondela U19 VS Alverca U19
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tondela U19

(Home)
25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0
Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1
Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0
Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1
Academico Viseu U19
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Alverca U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
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