Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tondela U19 vs Mafra U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Arede S.
90' Event
Brito F.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Tondela U19 and Mafra U19 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tondela U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tondela U19
30%
Draws
47%
Mafra U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mafra U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Tondela U19 have managed 0.73 goals a game lately — Mafra U19 are scoring more at 1.16.
  • Tondela U19 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Mafra U19 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tondela U19 Mafra U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.73 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Tondela U19
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Mafra U19
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Mafra U19
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Tondela U19
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Tondela U19
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tondela U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arede S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brito F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mafra U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tondela U19 77 / 100
Mafra U19 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tondela U19 Mafra U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tondela U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mafra U19 conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tondela U19 found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Tondela U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tondela U19 VS Mafra U19
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tondela U19

(Home)
25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0
Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1
Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0
Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1
Academico Viseu U19
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Mafra U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0
Mafra U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2
Mafra U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
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