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Tondela vs Sao Joao de Ver Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Tondela and Sao Joao de Ver finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Tondela
20%
Draws
15%
Sao Joao de Ver
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tondela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tondela come out ahead of Sao Joao de Ver on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tondela's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tondela here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tondela Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tondela Sao Joao de Ver
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.17 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Tondela vs Sao Joao de Ver
1:1
Mar 4, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tondela vs Sao Joao de Ver
2:1
Oct 30, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Sao Joao de Ver vs Tondela
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tondela 85 / 100
Sao Joao de Ver 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tondela Sao Joao de Ver

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tondela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tondela scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Sao Joao de Ver has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tondela remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tondela VS Sao Joao de Ver
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tondela

(Home)
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5
Tondela
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
05 Sept
Tondela
3 : 0
FC Porto B
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
21 Aug
Tondela
0 : 2
Academica
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Sao Joao de Ver

(Away)
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
16 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
1 : 3
AD Fafe
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