Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tonga U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 Women 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U17 W in this OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-13 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tonga U17 W
6%
Draws
90%
New Zealand U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U17 W have won more games recently than Tonga U17 W.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Tonga U17 W Clean Sheet 13%
New Zealand U17 W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonga U17 W New Zealand U17 W
Matches Played 6 35
Wins 1 15
Draws 0 3
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2016 OFC Championship U16 Women
Tonga U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W
0:13
Apr 16, 2010 OFC Championship U16 Women
Tonga U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W
0:18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonga U17 W 10 / 100
New Zealand U17 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonga U17 W New Zealand U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 15.50 goals when they meet.

New Zealand U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

New Zealand U17 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Tonga U17 W's goal record stands at 17% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS New Zealand U17 W
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonga U17 W

(Home)
19 Jan
Tonga U17 W
0 : 13
New Zealand U17 W
16 Jan
Samoa U17 W
1 : 4
Tonga U17 W
14 Jan
New Caledonia U17 W
5 : 0
Tonga U17 W
16 Apr
Tonga U17 W
0 : 18
New Zealand U17 W
14 Apr
Tonga U17 W
0 : 5
Solomon Islands U17 W
Page 1 of 2

New Zealand U17 W

(Away)
25 Oct
New Zealand U17 W
0 : 4
Zambia U17 W
22 Oct
Paraguay U17 W
4 : 1
New Zealand U17 W
19 Oct
Japan U17 W
3 : 0
New Zealand U17 W
22 Oct
Ecuador U17 W
4 : 0
New Zealand U17 W
19 Oct
Dominican Republic U17 W
1 : 1
New Zealand U17 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U17 W330036:09
2New Caledonia U17 W320110:126
3Tonga U17 W31024:193
4Samoa U17 W30031:200
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Papua New Guinea U17 W321011:47
2Fiji U17 W31117:54
3Cook Islands U17 W31026:63
4Vanuatu U17 W31025:143
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)