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Stadium Background

Tonga U19 vs Cook Islands U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19
Tonga U19 Logo

Tonga U19

1 - 4
FT
Cook Islands U19 Logo

Cook Islands U19

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U19 game between Tonga U19 and Cook Islands U19 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cook Islands U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tonga U19
20%
Draws
51%
Cook Islands U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cook Islands U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cook Islands U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cook Islands U19 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tonga U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Cook Islands U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonga U19 Cook Islands U19
Matches Played 14 11
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 1
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.36
Goals Conceded 3.57 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 OFC Championship U19
Tonga U19 vs Cook Islands U19
1:4
Apr 9, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Tonga U19 vs Cook Islands U19
1:1
May 27, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Tonga U19 vs Cook Islands U19
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonga U19 10 / 100
Cook Islands U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonga U19 Cook Islands U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cook Islands U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cook Islands U19 conceded in 91% of 11 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Tonga U19 found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (14 games).

Tonga U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tonga U19 VS Cook Islands U19
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
4.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonga U19

(Home)
10 Jun
Tonga U19
1 : 4
Cook Islands U19
07 Jun
Tonga U19
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea U19
15 Apr
American Samoa U19
3 : 4
Tonga U19
12 Apr
Tonga U19
0 : 3
Vanuatu U19
09 Apr
Tonga U19
1 : 1
Cook Islands U19
Page 1 of 3

Cook Islands U19

(Away)
13 Jun
Papua New Guinea U19
5 : 1
Cook Islands U19
10 Jun
Tonga U19
1 : 4
Cook Islands U19
15 Apr
Cook Islands U19
0 : 2
Vanuatu U19
12 Apr
American Samoa U19
2 : 3
Cook Islands U19
09 Apr
Tonga U19
1 : 1
Cook Islands U19
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Papua New Guinea U19 2 2 0 0 9:1 6
2 Cook Islands U19 2 1 0 1 5:6 3
3 Tonga U19 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (Main)