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Tonota vs Sua Flamingoes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Tonota Logo

Tonota

1 - 0
FT
Sua Flamingoes Logo

Sua Flamingoes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tonota in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tonota.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Tonota
35%
Draws
27%
Sua Flamingoes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tonota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sua Flamingoes lately — more wins on the board than Tonota.
  • Tonota are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Tonota Clean Sheet 68%
Sua Flamingoes Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonota Sua Flamingoes
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 3 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 0 7
Goals Scored 1.4 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Premier League
Tonota vs Sua Flamingoes
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonota 59 / 100
Sua Flamingoes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonota Sua Flamingoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tonota Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonota's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

Tonota has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sua Flamingoes has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tonota VS Sua Flamingoes
1.17 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonota

(Home)
09 Oct
Tonota
1 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
03 Oct
Matebele
1 : 3
Tonota
16 Sept
Centre Chiefs
1 : 1
Tonota
11 Sept
Tonota
1 : 1
BDF XI
29 Aug
Tonota
1 : 0
Tafic FC

Sua Flamingoes

(Away)
09 Oct
Tonota
1 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
19 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 1
Enesia
12 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Prisons XI Gaborone
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tonota 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
2 Sua Flamingoes 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
3 Police XI 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
4 Gaborone Utd 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
5 Nico United 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Tafic FC 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
7 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
8 Enesia 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
9 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
10 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
11 Centre Chiefs 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 Morupule 4 0 2 2 2:6 2
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Matebele 4 0 0 4 1:6 0
16 Prisons XI Gaborone 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)