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Tonsberg vs Flint

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2020
Sat, Sep 26, 2020
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tonsberg host Flint in the Division 3 - Group 2 2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Flint have shipped 2.33 goals a game lately, while Tonsberg have conceded 1.08 and scored 2.23. Past meetings favor Tonsberg slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 23, 2021, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 1.11) point toward Tonsberg. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tonsberg
20%
Draws
40%
Flint
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flint come out ahead of Tonsberg on wins alone.
  • Tonsberg are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tonsberg Clean Sheet 20%
Flint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonsberg Flint
Matches Played 13 33
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 2 18
Goals Scored 2.23 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.08 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2021 Division 3 - Group 2
Tonsberg vs Flint
3:1
Oct 24, 2020 Division 3 - Group 2
Tonsberg vs Flint
0:0
Sep 26, 2020 Division 3 - Group 2
Tonsberg vs Flint
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonsberg 58 / 100
Flint 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonsberg Flint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tonsberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonsberg's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Flint's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Tonsberg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Flint
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonsberg

(Home)
30 Oct
Honefoss
4 : 0
Tonsberg
23 Oct
Tonsberg
3 : 1
Flint
17 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
2 : 2
Tonsberg
09 Oct
Tonsberg
1 : 2
Orn
04 Oct
Mjondalen 2
0 : 1
Tonsberg
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Flint

(Away)
23 Aug
Flint
2 : 0
Orn
26 Oct
Grei
3 : 4
Flint
18 Oct
Flint
5 : 5
Lokomotiv Oslo
11 Oct
Flint
0 : 2
Orn
04 Oct
Ready
5 : 1
Flint
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