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Tonsberg vs Oppsal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2021 game between Tonsberg and Oppsal finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tonsberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Tonsberg
30%
Draws
29%
Oppsal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tonsberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Oppsal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Tonsberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tonsberg Clean Sheet 17%
Oppsal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonsberg Oppsal
Matches Played 13 35
Wins 8 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.23 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2021 Division 3 - Group 2
Tonsberg vs Oppsal
4:1
Sep 5, 2020 Division 3 - Group 2
Tonsberg vs Oppsal
0:0
Aug 21, 2020 Division 3 - Group 2
Tonsberg vs Oppsal
0:0
Apr 13, 2016 NM Cup
Tonsberg vs Oppsal
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonsberg 39 / 100
Oppsal 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonsberg Oppsal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tonsberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonsberg scored in 92% of their last 13 games.

Oppsal has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Tonsberg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Oppsal
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonsberg

(Home)
30 Oct
Honefoss
4 : 0
Tonsberg
23 Oct
Tonsberg
3 : 1
Flint
17 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
2 : 2
Tonsberg
09 Oct
Tonsberg
1 : 2
Orn
04 Oct
Mjondalen 2
0 : 1
Tonsberg
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Oppsal

(Away)
30 Aug
Raelingen
1 : 0
Oppsal
15 Aug
Oppsal
0 : 4
Elverum
08 Aug
Bjorkelangen
0 : 1
Oppsal
03 Aug
Oppsal
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
27 Jul
Lyn 2
2 : 2
Oppsal
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