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TOP Oss vs Cambuur

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Mulders R.
11'
Slagveer L.
33'
Kuijpers J.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between TOP Oss and Cambuur finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambuur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
TOP Oss
28%
Draws
22%
Cambuur
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: TOP Oss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • TOP Oss haven't matched Cambuur's recent run of results.
  • Model gives TOP Oss a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 13%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss Cambuur
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Cambuur
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs TOP Oss
1:0
Feb 14, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs TOP Oss
1:1
Aug 23, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Cambuur
1:0
Jan 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs TOP Oss
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOP Oss Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrah I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Souren N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 48 / 100
Cambuur 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss Cambuur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OSS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOP Oss scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Cambuur let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

TOP Oss went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS Cambuur
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
18 Jul
TOP Oss
3 : 1
SG Wattenscheid
12 Jul
TOP Oss
0 : 1
Duisburg
04 Jul
G.A. Eagles
4 : 1
TOP Oss
24 Apr
Maastricht
0 : 2
TOP Oss
17 Apr
TOP Oss
4 : 2
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

Cambuur

(Away)
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
24 Apr
Cambuur
2 : 1
Vitesse
17 Apr
De Graafschap
3 : 1
Cambuur
10 Apr
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Cambuur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)