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Torina vs Guarnizo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Ocejo G.

AI Match Summary

Guarnizo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarnizo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Torina
35%
Draws
18%
Guarnizo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Torina haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Torina a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Torina Clean Sheet 68%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torina Guarnizo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Torina
2:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Guarnizo
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Torina
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Guarnizo
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Guarnizo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Guarnizo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocejo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torina 86 / 100
Guarnizo 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torina Guarnizo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torina scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Torina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Guarnizo let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Torina VS Guarnizo
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torina

(Home)
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
09 May
Torina
2 : 0
CD Revilla
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0
CD Colindres
18 Apr
Selaya
2 : 0
Torina
Page 1 of 6

Guarnizo

(Away)
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)