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Torina vs Naval Reinosa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Baccino S.
Own Goal
56' Event
Fernandez Pulgar A.
81' Event
Morales K.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Torina and Naval Reinosa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Torina
30%
Draws
6%
Naval Reinosa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Naval Reinosa haven't matched Torina's recent run of results.
  • Torina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Torina Clean Sheet 20%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torina Naval Reinosa
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 15 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Torina
0:3
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Naval Reinosa
3:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Torina
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Torina
1:1
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Naval Reinosa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torina Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Pulgar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morales K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Naval Reinosa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torina 85 / 100
Naval Reinosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torina Naval Reinosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naval Reinosa conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Torina stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Torina's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Torina VS Naval Reinosa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.4
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 60%
0% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Torina

(Home)
20 Sept
Torina
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
09 May
Torina
2 : 0
CD Revilla
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
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Naval Reinosa

(Away)
26 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 4
CD Laredo
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
10 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Naval Reinosa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)