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Torlak vs BASK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 game between Torlak and BASK finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BASK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Torlak
15%
Draws
32%
BASK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torlak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Torlak carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Torlak a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • BASK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Torlak Clean Sheet 12%
BASK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torlak BASK
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.21 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Torlak vs BASK
1:4
Sep 26, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
BASK vs Torlak
2:1
May 25, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Torlak vs BASK
2:3
Nov 12, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
BASK vs Torlak
0:1
May 5, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
BASK vs Torlak
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torlak 56 / 100
BASK 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torlak BASK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torlak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Torlak's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

BASK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Torlak remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torlak VS BASK
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Torlak

(Home)
02 Oct
Brodarac
1 : 2
Torlak
26 Sept
Torlak
0 : 0
Jedinstvo Surcin
19 Sept
Bacevac
1 : 3
Torlak
12 Sept
Torlak
5 : 1
Zvezdara
05 Sept
Buducnost Dobanovci
4 : 0
Torlak
Page 1 of 6

BASK

(Away)
02 Oct
Usce
2 : 0
BASK
25 Sept
BASK
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
20 Sept
Padinska Skela
3 : 1
BASK
11 Sept
BASK
3 : 1
Brodarac
06 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
2 : 1
BASK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teleoptik 26 21 5 0 77:23 68
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 26 17 4 5 70:40 55
3 Torlak 26 14 5 7 59:30 47
4 Brodarac 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
5 Padinska Skela 26 10 7 9 31:32 37
6 Jedinstvo Surcin 26 10 6 10 25:30 36
7 Buducnost Dobanovci 26 9 9 8 35:32 36
8 Nika Lepusnica 26 9 9 8 43:24 36
9 Prva Iskra 26 9 6 11 38:39 33
10 Polet Dorcol 26 9 5 12 36:40 32
11 Zvezdara 26 9 5 12 33:45 32
12 BASK 26 8 6 12 27:31 29
13 Radnicki Beograd 26 4 7 15 25:53 18
14 Kolubara 26 1 0 25 9:103 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 (Relegation)