Sport Picks
Tornado Pekanbaru vs Balikpapan
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Stadion Sriwedari, Surakarta 
Match Events
1'
1'
Pahlevi R.
27'
27'
Sub
Cesar B. In: Reza D.
Out: Cesar B.
45'
45'
Patrick
Assist: Sukarno D.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Tornado Pekanbaru and Balikpapan finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tornado Pekanbaru.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tornado Pekanbaru
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Balikpapan haven't matched Tornado Pekanbaru's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Tornado Pekanbaru's way, sitting at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Tornado Pekanbaru have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tornado Pekanbaru Clean Sheet 68%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tornado Pekanbaru | Balikpapan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Championship
Tornado Pekanbaru vs Balikpapan
3:0
Dec 28, 2025 Championship
Balikpapan vs Tornado Pekanbaru
1:3
Oct 6, 2025 Championship
Tornado Pekanbaru vs Balikpapan
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tornado Pekanbaru Compare
Top Goalscorer Patrick
2 Goals Assists Leader Ragil M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Balikpapan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tornado Pekanbaru 95 / 100
Balikpapan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tornado Pekanbaru Balikpapan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tornado Pekanbaru Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Balikpapan conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Tornado Pekanbaru found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Tornado Pekanbaru went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tornado Pekanbaru VS Balikpapan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tornado Pekanbaru
(Home) 26 Sept
Tornado Pekanbaru
2 : 2 PS Barito Putera
18 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0 Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Sept
Dejan
0 : 1 Tornado Pekanbaru
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0 Persela Lamongan
25 Apr
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0 Tornado Pekanbaru
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tornado Pekanbaru
2 : 2 PS Barito Putera
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0 Persela Lamongan
12 Apr
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 0 Balikpapan
29 Mar
Tornado Pekanbaru
1 : 1 PSS Sleman
01 Mar
Tornado Pekanbaru
2 : 1 Persipura Jayapura
Page 1 of 3
Balikpapan
(Away) 25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2 Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
03 May
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 1 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2 Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
03 May
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 1 Balikpapan
18 Apr
PS Barito Putera
3 : 3 Balikpapan
12 Apr
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 0 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
