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Tornesch vs Alsterbruder - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Verago L.
9' Event
Haag S.
30'

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between Tornesch and Alsterbruder finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tornesch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tornesch
15%
Draws
42%
Alsterbruder
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tornesch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Alsterbruder have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Tornesch are scoring more at 1.31.
  • Win probability leans Alsterbruder's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tornesch Clean Sheet 10%
Alsterbruder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tornesch Alsterbruder
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.31 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.14 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Alsterbruder
4:3
Nov 5, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs Tornesch
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tornesch Compare

Top Goalscorer Scobel P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Haag S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Alsterbruder Compare

Top Goalscorer Verago L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Janta K. V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tornesch 10 / 100
Alsterbruder 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tornesch Alsterbruder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alsterbruder Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alsterbruder let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Tornesch's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Alsterbruder has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tornesch VS Alsterbruder
0.33 Goals Scored 0.63
3.67 Goals Conceded 2.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tornesch

(Home)
28 Jun
Tornesch
0 : 5
Eintracht Norderstedt
21 Jan
Tornesch
1 : 6
Eintracht Norderstedt
17 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
7 : 0
Tornesch
12 May
Tornesch
4 : 3
Alsterbruder
28 Apr
Sasel
4 : 0
Tornesch
Page 1 of 6

Alsterbruder

(Away)
16 May
TSV Concordia
2 : 5
Alsterbruder
10 May
Alsterbruder
1 : 4
Paloma
25 Apr
Suderelbe
3 : 2
Alsterbruder
13 Apr
Alsterbruder
1 : 2
Sasel
04 Apr
Eimsbutteler
4 : 2
Alsterbruder
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)