Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tornesch vs Harksheide

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Hartmann J.
21' Event
Schmidt F.
40' Event
Ay E.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between Tornesch and Harksheide finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harksheide.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tornesch
15%
Draws
49%
Harksheide
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harksheide

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Harksheide carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Harksheide are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Tornesch Clean Sheet 18%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tornesch Harksheide
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.83
Goals Conceded 3.14 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Harksheide
1:3
Jul 30, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Tornesch
4:0
Apr 16, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Harksheide
2:2
Oct 21, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Tornesch
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tornesch Compare

Top Goalscorer Ay E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Harksheide Compare

Top Goalscorer Hartmann J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schmidt F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tornesch 10 / 100
Harksheide 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tornesch Harksheide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harksheide Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harksheide let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tornesch scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Harksheide registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Harksheide
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tornesch

(Home)
28 Jun
Tornesch
0 : 5
Eintracht Norderstedt
21 Jan
Tornesch
1 : 6
Eintracht Norderstedt
17 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
7 : 0
Tornesch
12 May
Tornesch
4 : 3
Alsterbruder
28 Apr
Sasel
4 : 0
Tornesch
Page 1 of 6

Harksheide

(Away)
16 Aug
Sasel
3 : 1
Harksheide
31 Jul
Harksheide
1 : 1
Suderelbe
26 Jul
Pinneberg
2 : 1
Harksheide
15 May
HT 16
5 : 4
Harksheide
08 May
Harksheide
2 : 0
Curslack-Neuengamme
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)