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Torns vs Karlskrona

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland Tornvallen Stångby
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torns play Karlskrona in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Torns averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Karlskrona averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Torns won 1, Karlskrona won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Torns and 2.00 for Karlskrona. This points to a Karlskrona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Torns
15%
Draws
53%
Karlskrona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Torns picked up more points recently compared to Karlskrona.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Torns Clean Sheet 10%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torns Karlskrona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Torns vs Karlskrona
1:3
Oct 19, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Torns vs Karlskrona
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Torns
4:1
Nov 21, 2020 Division 1 - Södra
Torns vs Karlskrona
0:3
Jun 17, 2020 Division 1 - Södra
Karlskrona vs Torns
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torns Compare

Top Goalscorer Kangeman F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Karlskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjornson L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andersson W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torns 31 / 100
Karlskrona 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torns Karlskrona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Karlskrona & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Torns attacking → ← attacking Karlskrona

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torns scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Karlskrona let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Torns went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Karlskrona lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 52
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Karlskrona1493228:1630
2Linero IF1481528:1925
3Oskarshamn1473427:1724
4IFK Trelleborg1365219:1123
5Vaxjo Norra1465320:1723
6IFK Berga1463527:1921
7Nosaby IF1355323:2120
8Osterlen FF1453618:2118
9Lilla Torg1446415:2018
10Staffanstorp United1445526:2617
11Solvesborgs1451822:2316
12Torns1450920:3715
13Rappe GOIF1433814:2512
14IFK Karlshamn14211114:297