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Torns vs Vaxjo Norra

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland Tornvallen Stångby, Lund
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mawana F.
17' Event
Mawana F.
26' Event
Culum E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between Torns and Vaxjo Norra finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaxjo Norra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Torns
30%
Draws
52%
Vaxjo Norra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vaxjo Norra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Torns haven't matched Vaxjo Norra's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vaxjo Norra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Vaxjo Norra have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Torns Clean Sheet 10%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torns Vaxjo Norra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 1 8
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Torns vs Vaxjo Norra
1:3
Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Torns
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Torns
7:0
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Torns vs Vaxjo Norra
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torns Compare

Top Goalscorer Antoniusson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Mawana F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Culum E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torns 10 / 100
Vaxjo Norra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torns Vaxjo Norra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaxjo Norra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Torns scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Vaxjo Norra let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Torns remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torns VS Vaxjo Norra
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Torns

(Home)
27 Sept
Linero IF
5 : 1
Torns
19 Sept
Torns
1 : 2
Rappe GOIF
13 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 2
Torns
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3
Vaxjo Norra
28 Aug
Torns
1 : 2
IFK Trelleborg
Page 1 of 6

Vaxjo Norra

(Away)
25 Sept
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3
Vaxjo Norra
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 23 18 3 2 61:20 57
2 IFK Trelleborg 23 14 5 4 49:23 47
3 Oskarshamn 23 13 3 7 58:30 42
4 Linero IF 23 12 2 9 44:39 38
5 IFK Berga 23 11 4 8 49:36 37
6 Nosaby IF 23 10 6 7 42:37 36
7 Vaxjo Norra 23 9 8 6 31:31 35
8 Osterlen FF 23 8 6 9 37:38 30
9 Solvesborgs 23 9 1 13 35:42 28
10 Lilla Torg 23 6 10 7 31:38 28
11 Staffanstorp United 23 5 8 10 33:41 23
12 Torns 23 7 0 16 31:64 21
13 Rappe GOIF 23 4 6 13 25:51 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 23 3 2 18 24:60 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)